AUD/NZD-Commentary
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September 29, 2026 6:47 AM UTC
RBA hikes as expected remains ready to do as needed in terms of further tightening
Modest sell the fact for AUD, extending the pre-meeting tone
CPI data the next big focus and to remain the key data release going forward
September 22, 2026 6:41 AM UTC
Flurry of Trump meetings to set the tone, focus on Middle East talks
Brent holds above $100 support into those
NZD manages a bounce after steep drop out of RBNZ comments
Various CB speakers from ECB and Fed today
September 14, 2026 11:15 AM UTC
Mkt turned long NZD in latest IMM week
That has tended to prove a contrary indicator rather than a bullish one more often than not
Descriptive stats show a skew towards downside kiwi corrections in the following window
May also be suggestive of wider current risk positioning in FX
May 27, 2026 12:48 PM UTC
Oil continues to pull back on further 'initial draft MoU' headline
Tending to play to the o/n move towards corrective ToT cross trades
USD off a little, but recent positioning more balanced
May 27, 2026 6:49 AM UTC
AUD/NZD reversing run out of last 2 sessions, though RBNZ was only catching up towards mkt pricing
Elsewhere, mkt continues to wait and hope on Iran, expiries could add to the lethargy
BoJ comments may back a hike, but month-end and backdrop dominate
May 26, 2026 4:07 PM UTC
Kiwi remains pressured into RBNZ
Even with expectations of a hawkish outlook shift, mkt already has decent amount priced in
Cross continues to trade medium-term trajectory on charts and on 90s parallel
Loaded positioning remains its main n/t risk factor