GBP/USD-Commentary
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May 18, 2026 1:01 PM UTC
Some respite on suggestions of US temporary waiver on Iran oil sanctions, before any final agreement
Mkt lifted by some US compromise and apparent responsiveness to fresh energy pressure
Day to day development swing too wildly to get carried away
May 18, 2026 7:25 AM UTC
IMM positions data showed mkt was stretched long AUD into pullback, albeit partly offset on cross
GBP shorts trimmed after positioning into anticipated political event
Overall, mkt was light dollars into any volatility pick up
May 15, 2026 9:47 AM UTC
A clash of themes coming to a head as over-accelerating AI, risk and commodity complex trades run into ongoing Iran standoff and the mini dollar squeeze
The likes of AUD, semiconductors, Kospi, metals, have been overrunning m/t trends, not to maximum excess, but to degrees that are vulnerable to a lo
May 12, 2026 7:44 AM UTC
Gilts spike at open after further news of Labour push to replace Starmer
Technicals had already suggested some scope for GBP correction
That said, the narrative is a bit one-dimensional, and there is already short spec positioning
February 13, 2026 5:34 PM UTC
The Supreme Court has scheduled February 20 as a day for announcements. There is no certainty on which cases will see decisions announced for, but a ruling on the Trump reciprocal tariffs is a clear possibility.
February 2, 2026 6:26 PM UTC
While House Majority leader Johnson is still optimistic about getting the partial government shutdown resolved tomorrow (Tuesday), the Labor Department has no stated that the shutdown has already lasted long enough to cause Friday’s non-farm payroll to be delayed.
February 2, 2026 1:39 PM UTC
The US government is now in a partial shutdown which is expected to be resolved fairly soon, but probably only for two weeks. The December JOLTS report on labor turnover due on Tuesday February 3 may be delayed, but initial claims on Thursday February 5 and the key January non-farm payroll on Friday