Published: 2025-07-01T10:10:19.000Z
Psychology for major markets Jul 01

Senior FX Strategist
1
EUR testing highs, JPY weakness looks overdone, equities holding near highs
EUR/USD – EUR/USD hitting new 4 year highs above 1.18 but upcoming US employment data later in the week as well as July 9 tariff deadline and the US budget bill suggests two way risks.
USD/JPY – JPY still soft on the crosses but gaining against the USD as US yields drop.
EUR/GBP – Holding above 0.85 with GBP undermined slightly against the EUR by USD weakness.
AUD/USD – Found good support below 0.64 and retains scope for gains above 0.65 although rising expectations of RBA easing are limiting upside
Equities – S&P futures made new all time highs and sentiment remains positive helped by easing Mid-East tensions and rising hopes of Fed easing, but valuation remains expensive