Published: 2025-01-03T10:52:57.000Z
Psychology for major markets January 3rd
Senior FX Strategist
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USD remains generally firm
EUR/USD – Holding close to 2 year lows blow 1.03 as markets maintain a USD positive view, but losses look excessive relative to yield spread moves.
USD/JPY – Still well bid on the back of rising US yields and general USD positive sentiment, but upside limited by some verbal intervention from Japanese officials
EUR/GBP – Holding near 0.83 but recent downward revisions to GDP data may put GBP more on the back foot.
AUD/USD – Holding near the lows as US yields hold firm and markets remain disappointed at the lack of China stimulus and worried about upcoming impact of tariffs.
Equities – S&P 500 holding fairly steady just below the highs despite having slipped a little on rising US yields. Some vulnerability to any further rise in yields a risk premia are now very low.