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Published: 2026-04-07T15:14:19.000Z

New York Fed survey shows U.S. inflation expectations higher in March, even on a 5-year view

2

The New York Fed’s March Survey of Consumer Expectations shows expectations have been lifted by the surge in energy prices, most obviously at the 1-year level, but with impacts visible at the 3-year and even 5-year levels.

The 1-year view at 3.42% from 3.00% is back at a level seen as recently as December, but the 3-year view at 3.08% from 3.00% is the highest since April 2025. The 5-year view increased to 3.05% from 2.98%, and this takes it outside a recent tight range that was capped at 3.0%, moving above even levels seen after the Russian invasion of Ukraine caused a similar bounce in energy prices.

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