Published: 2024-11-26T11:18:49.000Z
Psychology for major markets November 26th
Senior FX Strategist
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USD strength fading a little as yields drop, but tariff announcement provides support
EUR/USD – Recovered from post-PMI dip on lower US yields after Bessent was nominated for Treasury secretary. But tariff fears still suggests some upside risks for US yields and downside risks for EUR/USD.
USD/JPY – Looks biased lower after the drop in US yields, but progress likely to be slow ahead of the December central bank decisions
EUR/GBP – EUR/GBP struggling to hold below 0.83 as UK data softens, but may get pushed lower if BoE leave rates unchanged and ECB cut 50 bps in December
AUD/USD – AUD/USD finding some support below 0.65 but struggling to benefit from relatively strong domestic conditions due to concerns around US tariffs and China.
Equities – S&P 500 remaining resilient despite a mild correction from the post-election rally. Tariff details and Fed stance will be key in the coming weeks