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Published: 2025-05-27T10:09:38.000Z

Psychology for major markets May 27

byAdrian Schmidt

Senior FX Strategist
2

Risk sentiment recovering and JPY softer as threat of 50% tariff on EU delayed

EUR/USD – EUR/USD continues to oscillate in the 1.11-1.15 range. More positive tone seen after 50% tariff on the EU was delayed until July.

USD/JPY – Rejected the move above 148 and dipped below 145 on US downgrade but more significant JPY recovery will still likely need weaker US equity performance.

EUR/GBP – GBP still firm helped by stronger retail sales data, the threat of a 50% tariff on the EU and  some hawkish BoE comments but progress below 0.84 will be hard.

AUD/USD – Looks well supported below 0.64 and still has some upside potential if Asian equity markets maintain recent improvement.

Equities – S&P looking stretched near 6000 as some significant negative tariff impact still likely despite recent trade deals

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