Published: 2025-07-02T10:09:47.000Z
Psychology for major markets Jul 02

Senior FX Strategist
3
Consolidation as markets await employment data and tariff news
EUR/USD – EUR/USD edging off 4 year highs above 1.18 as upcoming US employment data later in the week as well as July 9 tariff deadline and the US budget bill suggests two way risks.
USD/JPY – JPY still soft on the crosses and USD/JPY correcting higher as equities remain firm and Trump indicates no trade deal is likely with Japan.
EUR/GBP – Holding above 0.85 with GBP undermined slightly against the EUR by USD weakness.
AUD/USD – Found good support below 0.64 and retains scope for gains above 0.66 although rising expectations of RBA easing are limiting upside
Equities – S&P futures making new all time highs and sentiment remains positive helped by easing Mid-East tensions and rising hopes of Fed easing, but valuation remains expensive