Published: 2025-04-16T10:05:42.000Z
Psychology for major markets April 16th

Senior FX Strategist
3
Riskier currencies recovering modestly as volatility declines
EUR/USD – May be topping out near 1.14 as equities stabilise.
USD/JPY – JPY still firm against the USD but slipping a little lower on some crosses as risk recovers modestly
EUR/GBP – GBP correcting higher after recent losses as equities edge up. Current EUR/GBP levels now look high relative to yield spreads, but still low from a big picture perspective.
AUD/USD – Held above pandemic lows near 0.60 and has rallied strongly on general USD weakness as equities stabilise. 0.64 level still the major resistance, but still vulnerable to a renewed equity downturn on the US-China trade war.
Equities – Some stabilisation after initial bloodbath on US tariff increases but high US valuations still suggest scope for further declines longer term if tariffs cause significant US growth slowdown