Published: 2024-09-27T10:14:34.000Z
Psychology for major markets September 27th
Senior FX Strategist
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JPY rallies on Ishiba victory. EUR resilient despite rising expectations of ECB easing.
EUR/USD – EUR sentiment resilient despite lower inflation data which has increased market expectations of an October ECB rate cut. 1.11-1.12 range looks likely to hold near term.
USD/JPY – Victory for Ishiba in the LDP election has reversed some of the recent JPY weakness as he is seen supporting the Ueda BoJ’s planned tightening cycle, but 140-145 looks like a near term range.
EUR/GBP – Edging up off the lows in corrective move but GBP still showing underlying strength with BoE expected to ease less aggressively than others.
AUD/USD – Better risk sentiment, particularly in Chinese equities, supporting a move to new highs for the year, but better China sentiment may not last so upside scope may prove modest.
Equities – New highs in S&P 500 but valuations looking stretched with yields also higher