U.S. June Housing Starts and Permits - Multiple starts rebound, elsewhere modest slippage
June housing starts rose a stronger than expected 19.0% to 1.427m after a 15.2% decline in May, the moves ked by the volatile multiples sector. Single starts saw a third straight decline, while permits, -3.0% to 1.367m, saw a second straight decline. Underlying trend appears to be easing.
Multiple starts rose by 76.2% after a 39.6% May decline but the June level of 532k was not dramatically above April’s 500k, after slipping to 302k in May. June’s multiple starts level was the highest since May 2023 after May’s was the lowest since November 2024,
Single starts fell by 0.2% to 895k, the lowest level since January. Single permits fell by 2.4% to 871k, after a 1.2% May increase, reaching their lowest level since August 2025. Multiple permits fell by 4.2% after a 4.4% decline in May though remain above March’s level.
The picture appears to be for a gradual easing in underlying trend as mortgage rates are pressured higher by fears that the Fed is more likely to resume tightening than continue easing. New home sales have lost some momentum in the year to date and most housing sector surveys look quite subdued.