Published: 2026-04-01T16:32:25.000Z
Preview: Due April 9 - U.S. Final (Third) Estimate Q4 GDP - No significant revision
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We expect the final estimate of Q4 GDP to see no significant revisions, with marginal upward revisions to construction insufficient to lift the annualized gain from the preliminary 0.7%.
Construction is likely to see a marginal upward investment to non-residential structures and a slightly larger upward revision to state and local government, though government will remain as a significant negative due to the federal shutdown. Elsewhere we expect no significant revisions.
We also do not expect any revisions to the price indices, of 3.8% for GDP, 2.9% for PCE and 2.7% for core PCE. The overall price index was led higher by government, which may also have been impacted by the shutdown.
