Published: 2026-10-08T15:01:01.000Z
AUD/USD, EUR/AUD flows - AUD Underappreciated
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The USD rally against most DM currencies since early September has dragged along the AUD, which is little changed over the last month versus the EUR!
This is typical when a larger move spill over across DM, but AUD is not the EUR. Australia has little correlation to events in France. Additionally, AUD is a DM high yielder, with the policy rate spread is favour of the RBA. Government bond markets feel that 10yr AUD yields are high enough long-term and the spread versus the U.S. has narrowed in September – see below. The FX market could come to appreciate the AUD more and one way is short EUR/AUD. Any EUR bounce should see a similar move in AUD/USD, but any further EUR selloff is unlikely to be matched by the AUD.
