AUD/USD-Commentary

July 06, 2026

EUR/USD, USD/JPY - US NM ISM solid as expected

July 6, 2026 2:25 PM UTC

US NM ISM broadly as expected, another solid report

AUD/USD flows: Market Chops

July 6, 2026 4:07 AM UTC

OPEC+ confirmed a fifth straight monthly output increase

July 03, 2026

EUR/USD, USD/JPY - looking quiet unless yen sees another flurry

July 3, 2026 6:42 AM UTC

Could be quiet into US holiday unless there is another flurry of squaring

AUD/USD flows: Risk Upbeat Heading into the Weekend

July 3, 2026 5:31 AM UTC

Market broadly upbeat after a miss in NFP

July 02, 2026

AUD/USD flows: Poor May Trade Data

July 2, 2026 2:17 AM UTC

Australian May Trade Balance Miss
U.S., Iran end Doha talks with no breakthrough

July 01, 2026

AUD/USD flows: Market Undecided

July 1, 2026 5:00 AM UTC

Market undecided on Middle East complication

June 30, 2026

AUD/USD flows: Risk mood upbeat

June 30, 2026 5:33 AM UTC

Risk mood upbeat

June 29, 2026

AUD/USD flows: Risk Undecided

June 29, 2026 5:36 AM UTC

Major equities perform individually

June 26, 2026

AUD/USD flows: Risk Sinks on Friday

June 26, 2026 4:40 AM UTC

Major equities in the red

June 25, 2026

AUD/USD flows: Employment Improves

June 25, 2026 2:33 AM UTC

Australian May unemployment rate 4.4%

June 24, 2026

AUD/USD flows: Risk Choppy

June 24, 2026 5:03 AM UTC

Qatar says LNG production to resume within a few weeks
Australian May Headline CPI 4% y/y

June 23, 2026

AUD/USD flows: Risk Sour

June 23, 2026 5:49 AM UTC

Risk sentiment sour on hawkish Fed members

June 22, 2026

AUD/USD flows: Strait is back

June 22, 2026 1:57 AM UTC

Hormuz maritime security mechanism agreed by Iran

June 19, 2026

AUD/USD flows: Geneva talks cancelled

June 19, 2026 5:21 AM UTC

Geneva talks cancelled

June 18, 2026

NZD/USD flows: Q1 GDP Solid

June 18, 2026 1:54 AM UTC

New Zealand Q1 GDP 0.8% q/q

June 17, 2026

AUD/USD flows: Trump Floating Insurer Plans

June 17, 2026 4:02 AM UTC

U.S. Defense Production Act floated to force US insurer to cover Hormuz passage

June 16, 2026

USD/JPY, AUD/USD flows: 2 down with no big surprises, FOMC the bigger focus

June 16, 2026 6:23 AM UTC

No big surprises from BoJ or RBA
Dollar settles back from deal reaction, waits for next lead from FOMC

AUD/USD flows: Rate Unchanged

June 16, 2026 5:27 AM UTC

RBA keep rate unchanged at 4.35%

June 15, 2026

AUD/USD flows: Deal

June 15, 2026 1:22 AM UTC

U.S.-Iran Deal to be Signed On Friday

June 12, 2026

AUD/USD flows: IRGC Tough Talk

June 12, 2026 2:01 AM UTC

IRGC vows "regret-inducing" response

June 11, 2026

AUD/USD flows: More Missiles

June 11, 2026 4:42 AM UTC

Iran fires missiles at Jordan, Kuwait and Bahrain

June 10, 2026

USD flows: Latest tweet, modest reaction with so much noise

June 10, 2026 11:30 AM UTC

Moderate reaction to latest tweet, too much noise and reaction exhaustion
Hardly helpful and adds uncertainty, even if reports suggest the more detailed background work has made headway

USD flows: Noise picking up, still risks of fresh volatility spikes

June 10, 2026 6:41 AM UTC

Market proving phlegmatic but session to session noise is picking up
Oil digests the latest exchanges, equity bars getting longer though off yesterday's spikes
US CPI one of the next key event risk alongside Iran news flow

AUD/USD flows: Missiles Flying Again

June 10, 2026 4:52 AM UTC

U.S.-Iran Keep the Missiles Flying

June 09, 2026

USD flows: Oil off, but so is tech

June 9, 2026 4:40 PM UTC

Tech markets looking to extend the pullback even as oil extends the pullback

USD flows: Corrective but wary ahead of bigger event risk

June 9, 2026 1:02 PM UTC

Tiptoeing towards reluctant correction of sharp Fri action, but wary into bigger event risk
Still some room to give without cancelling skew

USD flows: Asia risk recovers, but USD not cancelled yet

June 9, 2026 6:32 AM UTC

Kospi manages a strong bounce, S&P future not as convincing yet
USD leaks out but hasn't cancelled breakouts yet

AUD/USD flows: No Sign of Progress

June 9, 2026 4:15 AM UTC

No Sign of Progress in Middle East

June 08, 2026

AUD/USD flows: More Missiles

June 8, 2026 5:14 AM UTC

Iran says that Israeli strikes have damaged its Karoon Petrochemical complex

June 05, 2026

AUD/USD, AUD/JPY flows: Stretched risk due a pullback?

June 5, 2026 8:11 AM UTC

Tech stocks showing some signs of running out of near-term gas
Overstretched vs short-term supporting trend, so could be due a technical correction
Something to watch if it spills into metals, volatility

AUD/USD flows: Risk undecided

June 5, 2026 5:01 AM UTC

Explosion heard near Oman's Mina al Fahal crude terminal

June 04, 2026

AUD/USD flows: Risk undecided

June 4, 2026 5:52 AM UTC

Major equity indexes perform individually

June 03, 2026

AUD/USD flows: Q1 GDP Miss

June 3, 2026 3:21 AM UTC

Australian Q1 GDP Miss

June 02, 2026

AUD/USD flows: RBA's Harper hawkish

June 2, 2026 5:41 AM UTC

RBA board member Harper said stronger-than-expected domestic demand and the return of capacity constraints have reopened the output gap
Trump told ABC News a Hormuz ceasefire extension and reopening deal could come within a week

June 01, 2026

AUD/USD flows: Risk Hopeful

June 1, 2026 4:54 AM UTC

Broader risk hopeful without anything concrete

May 29, 2026

AUD/USD flows: Trump Hasn't Signed Yet

May 29, 2026 5:43 AM UTC

Trump hasn't sign the ceasefire deal yet

May 28, 2026

AUD/USD flows: Sentiment Sour

May 28, 2026 3:01 AM UTC

The US has sanctioned Iran's Persian Gulf Strait Authority

May 27, 2026

NZD/USD flows: RBNZ Hawkish

May 27, 2026 5:53 AM UTC

RBNZ Keep Rates Unchanged with a 4-3 Vote

AUD/USD flows: Headline CPI Moderates, not Core

May 27, 2026 3:58 AM UTC

Australian Headline April CPI moderates to 4.2% from 4.6%

May 26, 2026

AUD/USD flows: Dropping bombs

May 26, 2026 4:44 AM UTC

Rubio says Hormuz will open one way or another
U.S. forces sank two IRGC vessels laying mines in the Strait of Hormuz and struck a surface-to-air missile site at Bandar Abbas
Iran launched anti-ship cruise missiles at US Navy assets in response

May 25, 2026

AUD/USD flows: Supported by broader sentiment

May 25, 2026 3:27 AM UTC

Broader Sentiment Upbeat

May 22, 2026

AUD/USD flows: Consolidating Lower

May 22, 2026 5:37 AM UTC

Aussie Consolidates

May 21, 2026

USD, JPY, EUR, AUD flows: Uranium standoff rumbles on

May 21, 2026 10:48 AM UTC

Market prisoner to the headlines intraday
Latest has Iran pushback on enriched uranium. Hard line on both sides leaves deal unresolved.

USD, JPY, EUR, AUD flows: USD still firm, PMIs in focus

May 21, 2026 6:35 AM UTC

USD remains well supported, AUD softer, EUR may be vulnerable on PMIs

AUD/USD flows: Australian Labor Market Slows

May 21, 2026 3:21 AM UTC

Australia unemployment jumps to 4.5%

May 20, 2026

USD flows: Draft agreement talk forces mkt to hedge

May 20, 2026 3:48 PM UTC

Al Arabiya News claim sees mkt forced to hedge
Many false dawns of course, but clearly the dominant focus now for the next few sessions

AUD/USD flows: No improvement of risk atmosphere

May 20, 2026 4:51 AM UTC

Trump briefed on Iran strike options after pausing attack

May 19, 2026

AUD/USD, EUR/USD flows: Figure breaks

May 19, 2026 3:02 PM UTC

Dollar remains on n/t rise as AUD and EUR dip through figure levels

AUD/USD flows: Sentiment Still Sour

May 19, 2026 4:22 AM UTC

Trump says good chance of Iran deal after Gulf states secure attack pause

May 18, 2026

USD flows: Waiver allows some respite

May 18, 2026 1:01 PM UTC

Some respite on suggestions of US temporary waiver on Iran oil sanctions, before any final agreement
Mkt lifted by some US compromise and apparent responsiveness to fresh energy pressure
Day to day development swing too wildly to get carried away