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LONGER TERM THEMATIC RESEARCH

UK: Recession Risk to Affect Politics Before Brexit?

August 14, 2019 / Andrew Wroblewski
A “no-deal” Brexit was always supposed to accentuate risks that would push the UK economy into recession. However, if the gloomy economic news continues, the ensuing rising possibility that the economy may already be in recession will play an important role in an election campaign that already seems to be taking place.

U.S. Delays Tariffs – Toys, Tech, Beans and Politics

August 13, 2019 / Kevin Harris
The U.S. Trade Representative has announced a delay until December 15 in the imposition of 10% tariffs on some of the $200 billion in goods that was due on September 1.

Brazilian Central Bank: Not as Dovish as the Market Sees It

August 06, 2019 / Pedro Tuesta
The minutes from the July 31 monetary policy meeting show that the Brazilian Central Bank saw room to cut the Selic rate, but will be cautious going forward.
SHORTER TERM TACTICAL RESEARCH

Poland Flows: Zloty Underperforms CEE-3 Peers on Profit-taking

August 19, 2019 / Juri Kren

The zloty depreciated on profit taking at the start of Monday, underperforming its CEE-3 peers after the gains recorded in the previous few sessions.

UK Preview: Due August 14 - July CPI Inflation to Fall Below Target; Core to Slip as Well

August 06, 2019 / Andrew Wroblewski

We see the UK's July CPI data more than reversing the rise from April, with the headline rate falling 0.2 ppt to a six-month low of 1.8% y/y.

Monthly View: Chart USD/KRW Update - Bulls Resume the Rise From 1054.00 Low

August 06, 2019 / Winston Tang

USD/KRW easily surged above the strong hurdle at 1196.50 last week.

 

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