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Scenario Analysis June 27, 2019 / 02:01 pm UTC

Brexit: Scenario Scene-Stealers

By Grant Hixon, Andrew Wroblewski
Brexit has already cost the jobs of two Prime Ministers, and the Conservative Party is now electing a third amid heightened economic, political and even constitutional uncertainties. The two remaining candidates, Boris Johnson and Jeremy Hunt, both prioritize leaving the EU with a deal, but also suggest they would allow a no-deal Brexit when the current Article 50 deadline ends on October 31. We look at some of the more likely possible outcomes, ignoring a still-possible “Remain” outcome, which we give about a 20% chance.